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Primera A · Colombia
Chico vs Cucuta prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 23:10 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chico host Cucuta in the Primera A (Colombia) on 11 Oct 2026, 23:10 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chico 0–1 Cucuta.
Going into the match, Chico had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Cucuta had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Chico's last 10 and 5 of Cucuta's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chico averaged 1.78 goals scored and 0.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Cucuta averaged 0.60 scored and 2.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Chico and 1.18 from Cucuta. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 38%, against 41%, 30% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chico (green) and Cucuta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 49% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.