Home › League stats › Non League Premier - Southern South › Chichester City vs Plymouth Parkway
Non League Premier - Southern South · England
Chichester City vs Plymouth Parkway prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chichester City host Plymouth Parkway in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chichester City 3–1 Plymouth Parkway.
Going into the match, Chichester City had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 19. Plymouth Parkway had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Chichester City's last 10 and 6 of Plymouth Parkway's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chichester City averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Plymouth Parkway averaged 2.63 scored and 1.38 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.76 goals from Chichester City and 1.87 from Plymouth Parkway. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 40%, against 31%, 24% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chichester City (green) and Plymouth Parkway (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chichester City | LWDLL | 2.00 | 1.90 | 60% | 90% |
| Plymouth Parkway | WDLWW | 2.00 | 0.90 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.35 |
| Plymouth Parkway Win | 40% | 2.00 |
| Plymouth Parkway HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.