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NWSL Women · USA
Chicago Red Stars W vs Denver Summit W prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chicago Red Stars W host Denver Summit W in the NWSL Women (USA) on 4 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Denver Summit W Win — Denver Summit W to win. It was published at odds of 1.38, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chicago Red Stars W 0–3 Denver Summit W.
Going into the match, Chicago Red Stars W had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 29. Denver Summit W had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Chicago Red Stars W's last 10 and 7 of Denver Summit W's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chicago Red Stars W averaged 0.80 goals scored and 2.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Denver Summit W averaged 1.44 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.79 goals from Chicago Red Stars W and 2.80 from Denver Summit W. From that it rates a home win at 7%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 79%, against 17%, 18% and 65% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chicago Red Stars W (green) and Denver Summit W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Red Stars W | LLDLL | 0.70 | 2.90 | 50% | 70% |
| Denver Summit W | LWDDW | 2.00 | 1.60 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 Aug 2026 · Denver Summit W 6–1 Chicago Red Stars W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Denver Summit W Win | 65% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Denver Summit W HT & FT | 51% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.