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Major League Soccer · USA
Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chicago Fire host Vancouver Whitecaps in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 7 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chicago Fire 3–1 Vancouver Whitecaps.
Going into the match, Chicago Fire had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Vancouver Whitecaps had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Chicago Fire's last 10 and 5 of Vancouver Whitecaps's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chicago Fire averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Vancouver Whitecaps averaged 1.77 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.68 goals from Chicago Fire and 1.45 from Vancouver Whitecaps. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 32%, against 33%, 24% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chicago Fire (green) and Vancouver Whitecaps (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | WLLDD | 1.50 | 1.70 | 80% | 70% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | DWLLW | 2.10 | 1.20 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.36 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 49% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.