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Thai League 2 · Thailand
Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart FC prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chiangmai United host Kasetsart FC in the Thai League 2 (Thailand) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Chiangmai United to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chiangmai United 2–0 Kasetsart FC.
Going into the match, Chiangmai United had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 6 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 7. Kasetsart FC had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 6, with 3 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Chiangmai United's last 6 and 1 of Kasetsart FC's last 6; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chiangmai United averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Kasetsart FC averaged 0.00 scored and 1.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.01 goals from Chiangmai United and 0.83 from Kasetsart FC. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 14%, against 44%, 27% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chiangmai United (green) and Kasetsart FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiangmai United | LWWLW | 2.00 | 1.17 | 50% | 67% |
| Kasetsart FC | DLLLL | 0.50 | 1.83 | 17% | 17% |
Averages over each side's last 6 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Kasetsart FC 3–4 Chiangmai United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.05 |
| Chiangmai United Win | 44% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.