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Non League Premier - Southern South · England
Chertsey Town vs Chippenham Town prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chertsey Town host Chippenham Town in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chertsey Town 2–2 Chippenham Town.
Going into the match, Chertsey Town had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 17. Chippenham Town had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Chertsey Town's last 10 and 6 of Chippenham Town's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chertsey Town averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Chippenham Town averaged 0.92 scored and 1.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.33 goals from Chertsey Town and 0.86 from Chippenham Town. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 11%, against 54%, 24% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chertsey Town (green) and Chippenham Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chertsey Town | WLDDW | 2.00 | 1.70 | 80% | 80% |
| Chippenham Town | LLDDD | 1.00 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.49 |
| Chertsey Town Win | 58% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Chertsey Town HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 22% | 3.80 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.