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Non League Premier - Southern South · England

Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke Town prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.53Market probability 63%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Chertsey Town host Basingstoke Town in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Chertsey Town had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 14. Basingstoke Town had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Chertsey Town's last 10 and 5 of Basingstoke Town's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chertsey Town averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Basingstoke Town averaged 1.27 scored and 2.09 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.85 goals from Chertsey Town and 0.99 from Basingstoke Town. From that it rates a home win at 75%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 10%, against 56%, 23% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Chertsey Town (green) and Basingstoke Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack53% – 47%
Defence58% – 42%
Head-to-head60% – 40%
Goals60% – 40%
Overall strength58% – 41%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Chertsey TownDWWLD1.801.4060%60%
Basingstoke TownLWLLW1.001.7050%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No73%1.26
Over 2.5 Goals63%1.53
BTTS Yes62%1.47
Chertsey Town Win58%1.62
Under 10.5 Corners58%1.59
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals56%1.67
2nd Half Higher Goals49%1.90
Chertsey Town HT & FT37%2.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Non League Premier - Southern South matches that day