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Cup · Russia
Chertanovo Moscow vs Tekstilshchik prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chertanovo Moscow host Tekstilshchik in the Cup (Russia) on 14 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chertanovo Moscow 2–1 Tekstilshchik.
Going into the match, Chertanovo Moscow had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 9. Tekstilshchik had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Chertanovo Moscow's last 10 and 4 of Tekstilshchik's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chertanovo Moscow averaged 1.93 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Tekstilshchik averaged 1.07 scored and 1.53 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.00 goals from Chertanovo Moscow and 0.67 from Tekstilshchik. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 11%, against 25%, 27% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chertanovo Moscow (green) and Tekstilshchik (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chertanovo Moscow | WLWWD | 2.30 | 0.90 | 60% | 60% |
| Tekstilshchik | LLLDW | 0.80 | 1.90 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.82 |
| Tekstilshchik Win | 48% | 2.01 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.