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Second League - Group 2 · Russia
Chertanovo Moscow vs Baltika II prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chertanovo Moscow host Baltika II in the Second League - Group 2 (Russia) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.49, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chertanovo Moscow 1–0 Baltika II.
Going into the match, Chertanovo Moscow had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 9. Baltika II had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Chertanovo Moscow's last 10 and 8 of Baltika II's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chertanovo Moscow averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Baltika II averaged 1.82 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.06 goals from Chertanovo Moscow and 1.17 from Baltika II. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 20%, against 45%, 24% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chertanovo Moscow (green) and Baltika II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chertanovo Moscow | LWWDW | 2.50 | 0.90 | 60% | 70% |
| Baltika II | LLLWD | 1.90 | 1.70 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · Baltika II 1–3 Chertanovo Moscow
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.49 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.46 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Chertanovo Moscow Win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 43% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.