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Second League - Group 2 · Russia
Cherepovets vs Torpedo Vladimir prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cherepovets host Torpedo Vladimir in the Second League - Group 2 (Russia) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.61, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cherepovets 0–1 Torpedo Vladimir.
Going into the match, Cherepovets had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 19. Torpedo Vladimir had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Cherepovets's last 10 and 3 of Torpedo Vladimir's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cherepovets averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Torpedo Vladimir averaged 1.00 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Cherepovets and 1.15 from Torpedo Vladimir. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 40%, against 40%, 29% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cherepovets (green) and Torpedo Vladimir (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherepovets | LWWLL | 1.10 | 1.90 | 60% | 60% |
| Torpedo Vladimir | LLLLW | 1.00 | 1.30 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · Torpedo Vladimir 1–0 Cherepovets
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.32 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.37 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.61 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 1.96 |
| Cherepovets Win | 40% | 2.32 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.