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K League 2 · South Korea
Cheongju vs Paju Citizen prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 07:30 UTC · Cheongju Stadion, Cheongju
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cheongju host Paju Citizen in the K League 2 (South Korea) on 1 Nov 2026, 07:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Cheongju had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 17. Paju Citizen had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Cheongju's last 10 and 6 of Paju Citizen's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cheongju averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Paju Citizen averaged 0.83 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.30 goals from Cheongju and 1.02 from Paju Citizen. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 28%, against 44%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheongju | LLWWW | 1.20 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
| Paju Citizen | DLDWD | 1.00 | 1.10 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Paju Citizen 0–0 Cheongju
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K League 2 matches that day
- Gimhae City vs Cheonan City · 1 Nov 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Jeonnam Dragons vs Seongnam FC · 1 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Jeonnam Dragons +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.20 - Suwon City FC vs Ansan Greeners · 1 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Suwon City FC Win @ 1.28