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K League 2 · South Korea
Cheonan City vs Gyeongnam FC prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cheonan City host Gyeongnam FC in the K League 2 (South Korea) on 10 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cheonan City 1–0 Gyeongnam FC.
Going into the match, Cheonan City had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 18. Gyeongnam FC had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Cheonan City's last 10 and 4 of Gyeongnam FC's last 10; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cheonan City averaged 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Gyeongnam FC averaged 0.90 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.86 goals from Cheonan City and 0.98 from Gyeongnam FC. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 36%, against 39%, 29% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 89%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cheonan City (green) and Gyeongnam FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheonan City | LDDLL | 1.10 | 1.80 | 70% | 40% |
| Gyeongnam FC | DWWDD | 1.10 | 0.50 | 40% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Jul 2026 · Gyeongnam FC 2–1 Cheonan City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.