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League Two · China
Chengdu Rongcheng II vs Qingdao Red Lions prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chengdu Rongcheng II host Qingdao Red Lions in the League Two (China) on 13 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Chengdu Rongcheng II to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chengdu Rongcheng II 1–1 Qingdao Red Lions.
Going into the match, Chengdu Rongcheng II had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Qingdao Red Lions had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Chengdu Rongcheng II's last 10 and 3 of Qingdao Red Lions's last 10; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chengdu Rongcheng II averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Qingdao Red Lions averaged 0.83 scored and 1.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.87 goals from Chengdu Rongcheng II and 0.98 from Qingdao Red Lions. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 36%, against 35%, 31% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chengdu Rongcheng II (green) and Qingdao Red Lions (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Rongcheng II | LDDLD | 1.10 | 1.10 | 50% | 20% |
| Qingdao Red Lions | LLWLD | 1.00 | 1.00 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 68% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.54 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.70 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
| Chengdu Rongcheng II Win | 35% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.