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Regionalliga - Nordost · Germany
Chemnitzer FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chemnitzer FC host FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt in the Regionalliga - Nordost (Germany) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chemnitzer FC 3–1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt.
Going into the match, Chemnitzer FC had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 5. FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 32 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Chemnitzer FC's last 10 and 7 of FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chemnitzer FC averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt averaged 2.25 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.98 goals from Chemnitzer FC and 1.36 from FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 26%, against 41%, 25% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chemnitzer FC (green) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chemnitzer FC | WWLWD | 2.10 | 0.50 | 40% | 50% |
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | WDWWD | 3.20 | 1.00 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.