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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Gedania Gdansk prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chemik Bydgoszcz host Gedania Gdansk in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.47, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chemik Bydgoszcz 2–3 Gedania Gdansk.
Going into the match, Chemik Bydgoszcz had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 23. Gedania Gdansk had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Chemik Bydgoszcz's last 10 and 8 of Gedania Gdansk's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chemik Bydgoszcz averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Gedania Gdansk averaged 1.50 scored and 2.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.12 goals from Chemik Bydgoszcz and 2.02 from Gedania Gdansk. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 37%, against 41%, 24% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | WDDDD | 1.30 | 2.30 | 80% | 70% |
| Gedania Gdansk | DLWDL | 1.80 | 2.10 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.23 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.55 |
| Chemik Bydgoszcz Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.