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First League · Russia
Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk), Chelyabinsk
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chelyabinsk host Shinnik Yaroslavl in the First League (Russia) on 31 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Chelyabinsk Over 0.5 Goals — Chelyabinsk Over 0.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.29, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Chelyabinsk had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Shinnik Yaroslavl had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Chelyabinsk's last 10 and 4 of Shinnik Yaroslavl's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chelyabinsk averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Shinnik Yaroslavl averaged 1.18 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from Chelyabinsk and 1.42 from Shinnik Yaroslavl. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 43%, against 40%, 31% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chelyabinsk (green) and Shinnik Yaroslavl (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelyabinsk | LLLWD | 1.30 | 1.40 | 70% | 50% |
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | WDLWD | 1.00 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Chelyabinsk 2–2 Shinnik Yaroslavl
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.34 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.47 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 63% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.61 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 46% | 2.07 |
| Chelyabinsk Win | 41% | 2.36 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First League matches that day
- FK Neftekhimik vs Ska-khabarovsk · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.56 - Volga Ulyanovsk vs Tekstilshchik · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.24 - Leningradets vs Enisey · 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.34