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League Two · England
Cheltenham vs Salford City prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cheltenham host Salford City in the League Two (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cheltenham 0–2 Salford City.
Going into the match, Cheltenham had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 16. Salford City had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Cheltenham's last 10 and 5 of Salford City's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cheltenham averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Salford City averaged 1.73 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from Cheltenham and 1.86 from Salford City. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 45%, against 23%, 27% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cheltenham (green) and Salford City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | LWDDW | 1.80 | 1.60 | 90% | 80% |
| Salford City | DWWLW | 1.40 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Salford City Win | 50% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.