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FA WSL · England
Chelsea W vs Tottenham Hotspur W prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chelsea W host Tottenham Hotspur W in the FA WSL (England) on 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chelsea W 6–2 Tottenham Hotspur W.
Going into the match, Chelsea W had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 3. Tottenham Hotspur W had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Chelsea W's last 10 and 5 of Tottenham Hotspur W's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chelsea W averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Tottenham Hotspur W averaged 2.75 scored and 0.50 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.74 goals from Chelsea W and 0.76 from Tottenham Hotspur W. From that it rates a home win at 78%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 7%, against 73%, 15% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chelsea W (green) and Tottenham Hotspur W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea W | WDWWW | 2.00 | 0.30 | 20% | 30% |
| Tottenham Hotspur W | LWWDW | 2.10 | 1.00 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Chelsea W Win | 73% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Chelsea W HT & FT | 55% | 1.73 |
| Chelsea W 1st Half Win | 55% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.