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MLS Next Pro · USA
Chattanooga vs New York City II prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chattanooga host New York City II in the MLS Next Pro (USA) on 18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chattanooga 3–1 New York City II.
Going into the match, Chattanooga had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 10. New York City II had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Chattanooga's last 10 and 6 of New York City II's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chattanooga averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home New York City II averaged 1.62 scored and 2.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.17 goals from Chattanooga and 1.25 from New York City II. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 21%, against 57%, 21% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chattanooga (green) and New York City II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga | WWWWL | 2.20 | 1.00 | 60% | 60% |
| New York City II | DWWLL | 2.10 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Jun 2026 · New York City II 1–1 Chattanooga
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.39 |
| Chattanooga Win | 55% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.76 |
| Chattanooga HT & FT | 41% | 2.29 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other MLS Next Pro matches that day
- Austin II vs The Town · 19 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · MLS Next Pro
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 · FT 2–1 - Houston Dynamo FC II vs Los Angeles FC II · 18 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · MLS Next Pro
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.43 · FT 2–2 - Crown Legacy vs New York RB II · 18 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · MLS Next Pro
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.33 · FT 2–1