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Championship · England
Charlton vs Bristol City prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Charlton host Bristol City in the Championship (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Charlton 1–1 Bristol City.
Going into the match, Charlton had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Bristol City had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Charlton's last 10 and 5 of Bristol City's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Charlton averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Bristol City averaged 1.46 scored and 1.46 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.91 goals from Charlton and 1.08 from Bristol City. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 38%, against 29%, 29% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Charlton (green) and Bristol City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | LDDLD | 1.10 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
| Bristol City | WWLLW | 1.30 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.