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Major League Soccer · USA
Charlotte vs FC Dallas prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Charlotte host FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 10 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Charlotte 3–2 FC Dallas.
Going into the match, Charlotte had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 12. FC Dallas had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Charlotte's last 10 and 7 of FC Dallas's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Charlotte averaged 1.73 goals scored and 0.93 conceded across 15 matches; away from home FC Dallas averaged 1.64 scored and 1.71 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.89 goals from Charlotte and 1.45 from FC Dallas. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 29%, against 41%, 26% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Charlotte (green) and FC Dallas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Charlotte Win | 41% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.