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USL Championship · USA
Charleston Battery vs Louisville City prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Charleston Battery host Louisville City in the USL Championship (USA) on 10 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Charleston Battery 0–2 Louisville City.
Going into the match, Charleston Battery had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 9. Louisville City had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Charleston Battery's last 10 and 6 of Louisville City's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Charleston Battery averaged 2.54 goals scored and 0.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Louisville City averaged 1.71 scored and 1.59 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.87 goals from Charleston Battery and 1.25 from Louisville City. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 25%, against 44%, 25% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Charleston Battery (green) and Louisville City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Battery | WWDLW | 2.10 | 0.90 | 40% | 60% |
| Louisville City | WDWLD | 1.10 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.