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Primera Premier · Mexico

Chapulineros vs Montañeses prediction and preview

16 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2No priceFinal score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Chapulineros host Montañeses in the Primera Premier (Mexico) on 16 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Montañeses to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Chapulineros 2–1 Montañeses.

Going into the match, Chapulineros had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 7 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 13. Montañeses had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 8, with 11 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Chapulineros's last 7 and 7 of Montañeses's last 8; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chapulineros averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Montañeses averaged 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Chapulineros and 1.60 from Montañeses. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 36%. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Chapulineros (green) and Montañeses (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form45% – 55%
Attack43% – 57%
Defence48% – 52%
Head-to-head0% – 100%
Goals20% – 80%
Overall strength37% – 62%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
ChapulinerosWLDDL1.001.8671%43%
MontañesesWLWLL1.381.7588%75%

Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other Primera Premier matches that day