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Primera Premier · Mexico
Chapulineros vs Montañeses prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chapulineros host Montañeses in the Primera Premier (Mexico) on 16 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Montañeses to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Chapulineros 2–1 Montañeses.
Going into the match, Chapulineros had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 7 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 13. Montañeses had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 8, with 11 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Chapulineros's last 7 and 7 of Montañeses's last 8; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chapulineros averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Montañeses averaged 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Chapulineros and 1.60 from Montañeses. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 36%. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chapulineros (green) and Montañeses (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapulineros | WLDDL | 1.00 | 1.86 | 71% | 43% |
| Montañeses | WLWLL | 1.38 | 1.75 | 88% | 75% |
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other Primera Premier matches that day
- Tigres de Alica vs Reboceros La Piedad · 17 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC · Primera Premier
Published pick: Double Chance 1X