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Premier League · Jamaica
Chapelton vs Waterhouse prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 22:05 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chapelton host Waterhouse in the Premier League (Jamaica) on 5 Oct 2026, 22:05 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Waterhouse to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chapelton 0–6 Waterhouse.
Going into the match, Chapelton had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 9 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 23. Waterhouse had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Chapelton's last 9 and 3 of Waterhouse's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chapelton averaged 2.50 goals scored and 3.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Waterhouse averaged 2.25 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.44 goals from Chapelton and 2.44 from Waterhouse. From that it rates a home win at 4%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 81%, against 24%, 26% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 96%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chapelton (green) and Waterhouse (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapelton | DWLLL | 1.78 | 2.56 | 56% | 67% |
| Waterhouse | WWLDW | 2.00 | 0.80 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Waterhouse 3–0 Chapelton
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.41 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Waterhouse Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Waterhouse HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.