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Thai League 2 · Thailand
Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chanthaburi host Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thai League 2 (Thailand) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chanthaburi 0–0 Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Going into the match, Chanthaburi had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Nong Bua Pitchaya had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Chanthaburi's last 6 and 8 of Nong Bua Pitchaya's last 10; 2 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chanthaburi averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Nong Bua Pitchaya averaged 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from Chanthaburi and 1.00 from Nong Bua Pitchaya. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 22%, against 44%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chanthaburi (green) and Nong Bua Pitchaya (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanthaburi | LWDLD | 1.17 | 1.33 | 50% | 33% |
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | WDLWL | 1.90 | 1.90 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Chanthaburi Win | 42% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.