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Thai League 2 · Thailand
Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chanthaburi host Nakhon Pathom in the Thai League 2 (Thailand) on 14 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Chanthaburi to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chanthaburi 3–0 Nakhon Pathom.
Going into the match, Chanthaburi had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 7 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Nakhon Pathom had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 7, with 6 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Chanthaburi's last 7 and 2 of Nakhon Pathom's last 7; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chanthaburi averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Nakhon Pathom averaged 0.67 scored and 0.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Chanthaburi and 0.59 from Nakhon Pathom. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 13%, against 50%, 28% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 87%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chanthaburi (green) and Nakhon Pathom (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanthaburi | DLWDL | 1.00 | 1.14 | 43% | 29% |
| Nakhon Pathom | WDDDD | 0.86 | 0.86 | 29% | 29% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.68 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Chanthaburi Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.