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K3 League · South Korea
Changwon City vs Pocheon prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Changwon City host Pocheon in the K3 League (South Korea) on 10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Pocheon to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Changwon City 1–3 Pocheon.
Going into the match, Changwon City had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 20. Pocheon had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Changwon City's last 10 and 5 of Pocheon's last 10; 7 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Changwon City averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Pocheon averaged 1.78 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.85 goals from Changwon City and 1.73 from Pocheon. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 57%, against 27%, 28% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Changwon City (green) and Pocheon (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changwon City | WLLLL | 1.50 | 2.00 | 80% | 70% |
| Pocheon | DWWLW | 1.50 | 0.70 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Pocheon 0–0 Changwon City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.81 |
| Pocheon Win | 46% | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.