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League One · China
Changchun Yatai vs Yanbian Longding prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Changchun Yatai host Yanbian Longding in the League One (China) on 6 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Changchun Yatai to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Changchun Yatai 1–1 Yanbian Longding.
Going into the match, Changchun Yatai had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Yanbian Longding had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Changchun Yatai's last 10 and 7 of Yanbian Longding's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Changchun Yatai averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Yanbian Longding averaged 1.30 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Changchun Yatai and 1.56 from Yanbian Longding. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 37%, against 43%, 29% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Changchun Yatai (green) and Yanbian Longding (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changchun Yatai | LDWWL | 1.60 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
| Yanbian Longding | LLLLW | 1.20 | 1.50 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · Yanbian Longding 2–2 Changchun Yatai
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.