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League Two · China
Changchun Xidu vs Guangzhou Dandelion prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Changchun Xidu host Guangzhou Dandelion in the League Two (China) on 6 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Changchun Xidu to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Changchun Xidu 1–1 Guangzhou Dandelion.
Going into the match, Changchun Xidu had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Guangzhou Dandelion had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Changchun Xidu's last 10 and 6 of Guangzhou Dandelion's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Changchun Xidu averaged 0.50 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Guangzhou Dandelion averaged 0.75 scored and 1.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Changchun Xidu and 0.72 from Guangzhou Dandelion. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 20%, against 36%, 32% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Changchun Xidu (green) and Guangzhou Dandelion (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changchun Xidu | DWWDL | 1.00 | 1.10 | 60% | 40% |
| Guangzhou Dandelion | LLDWD | 0.80 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 59% | 1.56 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.62 |
| Changchun Xidu Win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.80 |
| 0-0 | 17% | 5.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.