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Botola 2 · Morocco
Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chabab Mohammédia host USM Oujda in the Botola 2 (Morocco) on 4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Chabab Mohammédia to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chabab Mohammédia 0–1 USM Oujda.
Going into the match, Chabab Mohammédia had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 18. USM Oujda had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Chabab Mohammédia's last 10 and 4 of USM Oujda's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chabab Mohammédia averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home USM Oujda averaged 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Chabab Mohammédia and 1.10 from USM Oujda. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 35%, against 41%, 32% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chabab Mohammédia (green) and USM Oujda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chabab Mohammédia | LWLLD | 0.80 | 1.80 | 40% | 40% |
| USM Oujda | WWDLW | 1.00 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.26 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.59 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Chabab Mohammédia Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 35% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.