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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
CF Talavera vs Atlético Paso prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
CF Talavera host Atlético Paso in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is CF Talavera Win — CF Talavera to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: CF Talavera 2–1 Atlético Paso.
Going into the match, CF Talavera had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Atlético Paso had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of CF Talavera's last 10 and 4 of Atlético Paso's last 10; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home CF Talavera averaged 0.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Atlético Paso averaged 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from CF Talavera and 0.67 from Atlético Paso. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 17%, against 56%, 26% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between CF Talavera (green) and Atlético Paso (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Talavera | WWDDD | 1.00 | 0.80 | 40% | 40% |
| Atlético Paso | WDLDL | 0.70 | 0.80 | 40% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| CF Talavera Win | 57% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| CF Talavera HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.