Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Cerro Porteno WinOdds 1.60Market probability 56%Final score 2–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Cerro Porteno host Sportivo Ameliano in the Division Profesional - Clausura (Paraguay) on 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Cerro Porteno Win — Cerro Porteno to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Cerro Porteno 2–2 Sportivo Ameliano.

Going into the match, Cerro Porteno had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 10. Sportivo Ameliano had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Cerro Porteno's last 10 and 7 of Sportivo Ameliano's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cerro Porteno averaged 1.19 goals scored and 0.69 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Sportivo Ameliano averaged 0.92 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Cerro Porteno and 0.82 from Sportivo Ameliano. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 22%, against 56%, 25% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Cerro Porteno (green) and Sportivo Ameliano (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form58% – 42%

Attack60% – 40%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals71% – 29%

Overall strength62% – 38%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Cerro Porteno	DWLWL	1.50	1.00	60%	50%
Sportivo Ameliano	LLDDW	1.10	1.30	70%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

8 Aug 2026 · Sportivo Ameliano 1–0 Cerro Porteno
25 Apr 2026 · Cerro Porteno 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	76%	1.25
Over 1.5 Goals	73%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	71%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	68%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
Cerro Porteno Win	58%	1.60
Over 8.5 Corners	54%	1.73
Over 2.5 Goals	50%	1.90

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.