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Primera División · Uruguay
Cerro Largo vs Albion FC prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cerro Largo host Albion FC in the Primera División (Uruguay) on 11 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cerro Largo 0–1 Albion FC.
Going into the match, Cerro Largo had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 13. Albion FC had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Cerro Largo's last 10 and 6 of Albion FC's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cerro Largo averaged 1.08 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Albion FC averaged 0.83 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.00 goals from Cerro Largo and 0.89 from Albion FC. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 30%, against 39%, 30% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cerro Largo (green) and Albion FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Largo | LWLLD | 0.70 | 1.30 | 60% | 30% |
| Albion FC | WLLDL | 1.00 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Cerro Largo Win | 38% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.