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Copa Uruguay · Uruguay
Cerrito vs Wanderers prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cerrito host Wanderers in the Copa Uruguay (Uruguay) on 7 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Cerrito to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cerrito 2–2 Wanderers.
Going into the match, Cerrito had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Wanderers had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Cerrito's last 10 and 7 of Wanderers's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cerrito averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Wanderers averaged 1.38 scored and 1.85 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.82 goals from Cerrito and 1.41 from Wanderers. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 29%, against 49%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cerrito (green) and Wanderers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Sep 2026 · Wanderers 1–3 Cerrito
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Cerrito Win | 49% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.