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Segunda División · Uruguay
Cerrito vs Tacuarembo prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cerrito host Tacuarembo in the Segunda División (Uruguay) on 10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Cerrito to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cerrito 2–1 Tacuarembo.
Going into the match, Cerrito had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Tacuarembo had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Cerrito's last 10 and 4 of Tacuarembo's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cerrito averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Tacuarembo averaged 0.83 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Cerrito and 0.66 from Tacuarembo. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 17%, against 47%, 28% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cerrito (green) and Tacuarembo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerrito | DWLWD | 1.40 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
| Tacuarembo | LDDDL | 0.80 | 1.10 | 40% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Jul 2026 · Tacuarembo 0–0 Cerrito
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Cerrito Win | 46% | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.