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J1 League · Japan
Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cerezo Osaka host Yokohama F. Marinos in the J1 League (Japan) on 10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cerezo Osaka 0–0 Yokohama F. Marinos.
Going into the match, Cerezo Osaka had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Yokohama F. Marinos had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Cerezo Osaka's last 10 and 5 of Yokohama F. Marinos's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cerezo Osaka averaged 2.08 goals scored and 0.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Yokohama F. Marinos averaged 2.10 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Cerezo Osaka and 1.33 from Yokohama F. Marinos. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 39%, against 42%, 27% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cerezo Osaka (green) and Yokohama F. Marinos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerezo Osaka | WWDLD | 1.20 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
| Yokohama F. Marinos | WWWDW | 1.50 | 0.70 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.