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Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cercle Brugge host Anderlecht in the Jupiler Pro League (Belgium) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cercle Brugge 1–2 Anderlecht.
Going into the match, Cercle Brugge had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 22. Anderlecht had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Cercle Brugge's last 10 and 1 of Anderlecht's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cercle Brugge averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Anderlecht averaged 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.96 goals from Cercle Brugge and 1.80 from Anderlecht. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 56%, against 26%, 26% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cercle Brugge (green) and Anderlecht (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge | LDLLL | 1.20 | 2.20 | 60% | 70% |
| Anderlecht | WWLWD | 1.50 | 0.60 | 10% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.