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Premier League · Mongolia
Central Stallions vs Deren prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Central Stallions host Deren in the Premier League (Mongolia) on 11 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Deren to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Central Stallions 2–1 Deren.
Going into the match, Central Stallions had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 33 and conceding 13. Deren had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Central Stallions's last 10 and 6 of Deren's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Central Stallions averaged 3.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Deren averaged 3.30 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Central Stallions and 1.56 from Deren. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 37%, against 41%, 21% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Central Stallions (green) and Deren (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Stallions | WWWWW | 3.30 | 1.30 | 50% | 80% |
| Deren | DWWWD | 2.80 | 1.20 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Jul 2026 · Central Stallions 0–3 Deren
- 24 Jun 2026 · Deren 2–0 Central Stallions
- 14 Jun 2026 · Deren 1–2 Central Stallions
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 66% | 1.40 |
| Double Chance 1X | 63% | 1.44 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.82 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.85 |
| Deren Win | 37% | 2.40 |
| Central Stallions HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.