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Copa Uruguay · Uruguay
Central Espanol vs Danubio prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Central Espanol host Danubio in the Copa Uruguay (Uruguay) on 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Central Espanol 0–6 Danubio.
Going into the match, Central Espanol had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 17. Danubio had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Central Espanol's last 10 and 5 of Danubio's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Central Espanol averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Danubio averaged 0.62 scored and 1.38 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Central Espanol and 1.28 from Danubio. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 41%, against 35%, 29% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Central Espanol (green) and Danubio (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol | LLLLD | 1.10 | 1.70 | 50% | 60% |
| Danubio | LWLDD | 0.80 | 1.50 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Central Espanol 2–2 Danubio
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.