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A-League · Australia
Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 08:40 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Central Coast Mariners host Newcastle Jets in the A-League (Australia) on 17 Oct 2026, 08:40 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Central Coast Mariners 2–2 Newcastle Jets.
Going into the match, Central Coast Mariners had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 7 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 16. Newcastle Jets had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 8, with 13 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Central Coast Mariners's last 7 and 7 of Newcastle Jets's last 8; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Central Coast Mariners averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Newcastle Jets averaged 1.50 scored and 3.25 conceded across 4.
The 1X2 prices imply about 22% for Central Coast Mariners, 24% for the draw and 54% for Newcastle Jets once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Central Coast Mariners (green) and Newcastle Jets (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Coast Mariners | LLLDL | 1.00 | 2.29 | 57% | 57% |
| Newcastle Jets | LLLDD | 1.63 | 2.25 | 88% | 63% |
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Newcastle Jets 4–0 Central Coast Mariners
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Newcastle Jets Win | 54% | 1.75 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other A-League matches that day
- Macarthur vs Perth Glory · 17 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · A-League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Auckland vs Melbourne City · 17 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · A-League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30