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Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Celta de Vigo III vs Atlético Arteixo prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Celta de Vigo III host Atlético Arteixo in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Celta de Vigo III 3–2 Atlético Arteixo.
Going into the match, Celta de Vigo III had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 10. Atlético Arteixo had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Celta de Vigo III's last 9 and 7 of Atlético Arteixo's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Celta de Vigo III averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Atlético Arteixo averaged 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.06 goals from Celta de Vigo III and 1.80 from Atlético Arteixo. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 34%, against 45%, 27% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Celta de Vigo III (green) and Atlético Arteixo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo III | LDWLW | 2.00 | 1.11 | 56% | 67% |
| Atlético Arteixo | LWDDL | 1.40 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Celta de Vigo III Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Celta de Vigo III HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.