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Segunda División · Spain

Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.33Market probability 72%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Celta de Vigo II host Tenerife in the Segunda División (Spain) on 19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Celta de Vigo II 1–1 Tenerife.

Going into the match, Celta de Vigo II had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Tenerife had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Celta de Vigo II's last 10 and 5 of Tenerife's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Celta de Vigo II averaged 1.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Tenerife averaged 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from Celta de Vigo II and 1.40 from Tenerife. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 33%, against 36%, 30% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Celta de Vigo II (green) and Tenerife (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form44% – 56%
Attack54% – 46%
Defence48% – 52%
Head-to-head20% – 80%
Goals17% – 83%
Overall strength39% – 60%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Celta de Vigo IIWLDLL1.501.5050%50%
TenerifeDLDLW1.101.3050%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Over 1.5 Goals72%1.33
Double Chance 1270%1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals69%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals67%1.40
BTTS Yes53%1.80
Under 2.5 Goals53%1.75
Over 8.5 Corners50%1.83
Over 2.5 Goals47%2.05

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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