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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · Portugal
Celoricense vs Vila Meã prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Celoricense host Vila Meã in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (Portugal) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Celoricense 0–0 Vila Meã.
Going into the match, Celoricense had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 8 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Vila Meã had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 7, with 8 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Celoricense's last 8 and 3 of Vila Meã's last 7; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Celoricense averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Vila Meã averaged 0.75 scored and 0.75 conceded across 4.
The 1X2 prices imply about 50% for Celoricense, 28% for the draw and 22% for Vila Meã once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Celoricense (green) and Vila Meã (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celoricense | LLWWW | 0.88 | 1.13 | 38% | 38% |
| Vila Meã | WLDDW | 1.14 | 0.57 | 43% | 29% |
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.66 |
| Celoricense Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| Celoricense HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.