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Serie D - Girone A · Italy
Celle Varazze vs Chisola prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Celle Varazze host Chisola in the Serie D - Girone A (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Celle Varazze 0–4 Chisola.
Going into the match, Celle Varazze had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 8 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Chisola had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Celle Varazze's last 8 and 6 of Chisola's last 10; 1 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Celle Varazze averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Chisola averaged 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.64 goals from Celle Varazze and 2.02 from Chisola. From that it rates a home win at 10%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 69%, against 34%, 30% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Celle Varazze (green) and Chisola (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celle Varazze | LLLLW | 0.75 | 0.88 | 13% | 13% |
| Chisola | DLDWL | 1.40 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Chisola Win | 36% | 2.50 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.