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Primera Premier · Mexico

Celaya vs Jaguares de Chiapas prediction and preview

6 Oct 2026, 02:05 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XNo priceFinal score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Celaya host Jaguares de Chiapas in the Primera Premier (Mexico) on 6 Oct 2026, 02:05 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Celaya to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Celaya 0–1 Jaguares de Chiapas.

Going into the match, Celaya had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 9. Jaguares de Chiapas had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with 5 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Celaya's last 10 and 3 of Jaguares de Chiapas's last 5; 7 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Celaya averaged 2.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Jaguares de Chiapas averaged 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded across 3.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.86 goals from Celaya and 0.66 from Jaguares de Chiapas. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 39% and an away win at 25%. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Celaya (green) and Jaguares de Chiapas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form76% – 24%
Attack73% – 27%
Defence60% – 40%
Head-to-head80% – 20%
Goals67% – 33%
Overall strength74% – 26%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
CelayaDWDWW2.100.9070%70%
Jaguares de ChiapasDLDWD1.001.2060%20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

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