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Copa do Brasil U20 · Brazil
Ceará U20 vs São Paulo U20 prediction and preview
29 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ceará U20 host São Paulo U20 in the Copa do Brasil U20 (Brazil) on 29 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ceará U20 1–2 São Paulo U20.
Going into the match, Ceará U20 had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 10. São Paulo U20 had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 34 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Ceará U20's last 10 and 5 of São Paulo U20's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ceará U20 averaged 2.07 goals scored and 0.87 conceded across 15 matches; away from home São Paulo U20 averaged 1.59 scored and 0.76 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from Ceará U20 and 1.15 from São Paulo U20. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 26%, against 28%, 26% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ceará U20 (green) and São Paulo U20 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceará U20 | LWWDW | 1.70 | 1.00 | 70% | 60% |
| São Paulo U20 | LWDWW | 3.40 | 0.80 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.23 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| São Paulo U20 Win | 47% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.