CD Marathon vs Olancho prediction and preview

15 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

CD Marathon WinOdds 1.67Market probability 54%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

CD Marathon host Olancho in the Liga Nacional (Honduras) on 15 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is CD Marathon Win — CD Marathon to win. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: CD Marathon 2–1 Olancho.

Going into the match, CD Marathon had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 11. Olancho had won 2, drawn 7 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of CD Marathon's last 10 and 6 of Olancho's last 10; 6 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home CD Marathon averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Olancho averaged 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from CD Marathon and 0.54 from Olancho. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 14%, against 53%, 25% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between CD Marathon (green) and Olancho (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form71% – 29%

Attack77% – 23%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals62% – 38%

Overall strength69% – 31%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
CD Marathon	DLLWD	1.70	1.10	50%	60%
Olancho	DDDDL	0.80	0.70	60%	10%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

13 Apr 2026 · CD Marathon 0–2 Olancho

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	74%	1.20
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	67%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	67%	1.36
CD Marathon Win	54%	1.67
Under 2.5 Goals	51%	1.85
BTTS Yes	50%	1.82
Over 2.5 Goals	49%	1.95
CD Marathon HT & FT	36%	2.60

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.