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Serie C - Girone C · Italy
Cavese vs Casertana prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cavese host Casertana in the Serie C - Girone C (Italy) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cavese 2–0 Casertana.
Going into the match, Cavese had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Casertana had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Cavese's last 10 and 8 of Casertana's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cavese averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Casertana averaged 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.78 goals from Cavese and 1.35 from Casertana. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 28%, against 32%, 29% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cavese (green) and Casertana (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
| Casertana Win | 39% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.