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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · Portugal
Castro Daire vs Salgueiros prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Castro Daire host Salgueiros in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (Portugal) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Castro Daire 0–0 Salgueiros.
Going into the match, Castro Daire had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Salgueiros had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 8, with 7 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Castro Daire's last 5 and 4 of Salgueiros's last 8; 1 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Castro Daire averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Salgueiros averaged 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 38% for Castro Daire, 29% for the draw and 33% for Salgueiros once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Castro Daire (green) and Salgueiros (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castro Daire | WLDWL | 1.00 | 0.80 | 20% | 20% |
| Salgueiros | WWDWD | 0.88 | 0.75 | 50% | 13% |
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.29 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.75 |
| Castro Daire Win | 37% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
| 1-1 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.