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Serie D - Girone D · Italy
Castellanzese vs Arconatese prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Castellanzese host Arconatese in the Serie D - Girone D (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Castellanzese Win — Castellanzese to win. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Castellanzese 1–0 Arconatese.
Going into the match, Castellanzese had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 13. Arconatese had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 6, with 4 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Castellanzese's last 10 and 4 of Arconatese's last 6; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Castellanzese averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Arconatese averaged 0.67 scored and 2.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.35 goals from Castellanzese and 0.65 from Arconatese. From that it rates a home win at 75%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 8%. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Castellanzese (green) and Arconatese (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellanzese | WWWLL | 1.80 | 1.30 | 70% | 70% |
| Arconatese | DDLLD | 0.67 | 2.17 | 67% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.